Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.749856 7.452541 8.233114 9.171564 10.278740 11.555599 13.157636
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.576784 6.481554 7.569993 9.002130 10.878719 13.318284 16.846856
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.916337 5.902868 7.152648 8.901255 11.372180 14.893606 20.626834
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.411734 5.420279 6.746332 8.688328 11.597597 16.065643 24.129482
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.077999 5.109010 6.508603 8.642592 12.014506 17.575602 28.718222
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.810746 4.853194 6.307272 8.603469 12.409302 19.117998 34.032248
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.656474 4.735089 6.282194 8.816974 13.241155 21.647634 42.834660
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.397840 4.443950 5.969700 8.526245 13.134854 22.327902 47.592008
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.170449 4.180958 5.675591 8.228251 12.960243 22.816096 52.182016
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.996858 3.985150 5.467875 8.050333 12.979337 23.732161 58.829188
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.871602 3.853029 5.348316 8.009217 13.256080 25.327754 69.363034
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.866455 3.901925 5.519341 8.501127 14.712901 30.408004 101.426145
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.782418 3.831431 5.503284 8.676410 15.602078 34.626795 141.737086
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.642993 3.666466 5.318952 8.515719 15.714471 36.679234 176.774099
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.528308 3.533602 5.178232 8.422578 15.970628 39.385673 231.827501
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.407754 3.383959 4.996898 8.226375 15.931781 41.072919 289.851317
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.321189 3.284807 4.896579 8.184209 16.283807 44.524058 413.960140
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.242566 3.194195 4.804508 8.148134 16.647380 48.344417 630.038162
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.202330 3.165046 4.820547 8.344930 17.714813 56.388579 1455.206816
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.102870 3.030759 4.634640 8.076906 17.365030 57.060059 2012.358552
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.009008 2.902172 4.452501 7.801814 16.949436 57.196820 2747.418413
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.935394 2.805193 4.324161 7.637388 16.849419 59.189296 5123.262814
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.882209 2.741055 4.253886 7.599371 17.144754 63.976935 24303.370342